You May Not Like Darline Graham, But Senate Control Is at Stake
You May Not Like Darline Graham, But Senate Control Is at Stake
By The FirstLength 52
You may not like Darline Graham Nordone, but Stu argues Republicans should focus their messaging on Senate control. After all, do you really want Chuck Schumer on TV every day?
Why Prediction Markets Aren’t Useless
Why Prediction Markets Aren’t Useless
Length 1:31
Just because something is favored to happen doesn’t mean an upset is impossible.
Stu Burguiere responds to criticism of prediction markets and explains why unexpected outcomes are a natural part of probability.
What Are the Latest Generic Ballot Polls Telling Us?
What Are the Latest Generic Ballot Polls Telling Us?
Length 1:24
Stu Burguiere breaks down the latest generic ballot polling, showing a decrease in support for Democrats ahead of the 2026 midterms.
Michigan Senate Debate Gets HEATED!
Michigan Senate Debate Gets HEATED!
Length 1:09
Stu Burguiere reacts to a heated exchange during the Michigan Senate debate over allegations of Abdul El-Sayed’s family ties to the Muslim Brotherhood.
LeBron Did WHAT During the National Anthem?!
LeBron Did WHAT During the National Anthem?!
Length 2:40
Stu Burguiere and Dan Andros react to LeBron James practicing his golf swing during the national anthem.
LeBron Did WHAT During the National Anthem?!
LeBron Did WHAT During the National Anthem?!
Length 2:40
Stu Burguiere and Dan Andros react to LeBron James practicing his golf swing during the national anthem.
2026 Senate Fantasy League: Make Your Midterm Picks!
2026 Senate Fantasy League: Make Your Midterm Picks!
Length 30
Think you can predict how the Senate midterms will play out? There’s still time to join the Senate Fantasy League! Entry is free, and $2,500 goes to the winner. Build your team and lock in your picks before November 2 at SenateFantasy.com
Comparing Midterm Fundraising: Democrats vs. Republicans
Comparing Midterm Fundraising: Democrats vs. Republicans
Length 1:08
Stu compares Democratic and Republican fundraising numbers heading into the 2026 midterms and what they could mean for key races.
Predictable with Stu Burguiere helps you understand what’s actually likely to happen by using prediction markets to cut through the noise. Join Stu for daily analysis of politics, elections, sports, culture, and the biggest stories driving the markets. Instead of reacting to headlines, we follow incentives, identify mispriced opportunities, and focus on probabilities over narratives.
What Midterm Money Movement Predicts About Upcoming Election Results
What Midterm Money Movement Predicts About Upcoming Election Results
Length 45:43
On this episode of “Predictable w/ Stu,” Stu Burguiere breaks down the latest polling and markets on James Talarico and makes the case for taking the smart investment on the race as opposed to being led astray by emotion and fear. Then, a look into the GOP’s recent financial movement as certain races around the nation are stripped of cash while Elon Musk is making massive monetary injections in certain areas. And, Stu tries to decide where the smart investment lies when it comes to a movie about a whale swallowing a scuba diver.
What the Polls and Prediction Markets Tell Us About the (Near) Future (Midterms)
What the Polls and Prediction Markets Tell Us About the (Near) Future (Midterms)
Length 45:17
On this episode of “Predictable w/ Stu,” Stu Burguiere breaks down the most recent Senate and Gubernatorial polling for the upcoming midterms while comparing and contrasting how the data lines up with what the prediction market world is saying. Then, BlazeTV’s Steve Deace joins for an on-the-ground look at Iowa’s political situation and a more general conversation on November’s big election. Plus, today’s “Candidate Countdown” segment heads down south to Mississippi.
The UNDERCOVER Election: Party ID Goes ROGUE for the Midterms
The UNDERCOVER Election: Party ID Goes ROGUE for the Midterms
Length 44:31
On this episode of “Predictable w/ Stu,” Stu Burguiere examines our unintentional theme from our shows this week: Republicans and Democrats seem to be running in record numbers as the opposite party or as straight-up independents. What could this mean for the integrity of our elections and what effect is it having on the prediction markets? Then, new economic polling could mean more trouble for the GOP and some leaked audio from Ken Paxton could be having a disastrous impact on the Texas Senate race. Plus, Stu tries to conjure the “Candidate Countdown!” curse for a midterms race in Florida.
The Latest Midterms RED ALERT Hits the GOP
The Latest Midterms RED ALERT Hits the GOP
Length 43:58
On this episode of “Predictable w/ Stu,” Stu Burguiere breaks down the latest major warning sign for Republicans in the midterm elections and compares it to what the prediction markets are saying about November. Then, a new edition of “Candidate Countdown” focuses in on a small, but important, New Jersey House race. And Stu reacts to the news that Adam Kinzinger is being investigated for prediction market insider trading regarding his preemptive pardon from former-President Joe Biden.